Exploring the Eclipse of Equality

Posts Tagged ‘polarization’

Down to This: Which side is stronger and wronger

In Domestic Politics on March 17, 2010 at 10:36 pm

In one of the most cogent statements of this era of inclusion, Bill Clinton provided an analysis of the 2002 midterm election in which Republicans not only failed to lose seats, as is typically the case between Presidential contests, but also manged to pick up a few. In a speech to the Democratic Leadership Council Clinton said:

So we have to be firm and clear and strong and positive and prepared to defend our positions and those who are brave enough to stick their necks out to take them…When we look weak in a time where people feel insecure, we lose. When people feel uncertain, they’d rather have someone strong and wrong than weak and right…We have a heavy responsibility to cooperate in uniting this country on security issues, and also to come up with better ideas across the board.

What Clinton has Read the rest of this entry »

Summit as Setup: If its Sunday it’s party polarization

In Uncategorized on February 22, 2010 at 9:48 am

I’ll just share a few really brief thoughts this morning about progress in Washington. I am working on a few books about American political discourse and my data source of choice these days is the history of the television show Meet the Press. Watching the shows from the series is a fantastic way to learn about the history of political debate in the country. Over time, I have become adept at picking up on choice lines. A few weeks ago when Alan Greenspan came on to speak about the economy, there was a jaw dropper in which he admitted that he was now convinced that because Americans would not allow for cuts in Social Security we would have to raise taxes. To see why this was such a big deal, read Paul Krugman’s column today. I can find no way to overestimate the importance of this Greenspan conversion (which is precisely what I think it is), but that is story for another time.

Well, this Sunday, the best line came from Congressman Mike Pence, who claimed that the upcoming Obama summit would amount to nothing because the Democrats spell summit S-E-T-U-P.  This is against a backdrop of truly stunning social science findings, in which students of polarization have found that government leaders have become extremely polarized over time, while the people have only slightly moved toward their partisan and ideological camps on the basis on specific issue positions (for an interesting if complicated study see Baldassarri and Gelman). Mike Pence is a great model for the upcoming Republican leadership, silver coiffed, staunchly conservative, and no nonsense in his approach, Pence is the quintessential Hoosier politician. Being a Hoosier myself, I know them when I see them. This extreme cross party distrust is really fascinating and troubling in some ways, but it surely will finally break some of those old rules of comity in the Senate, even if it takes a Republican Senate to do the dirty work.

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